Daily Archives: April 20, 2020
No, but possibly, maybe . . .
Well, I had my WuFlu antibody test this morning, and the results are No, but Possibly, Maybe.
Well, that was helpful.
My test was negative, but had a couple of side indicators that said kind of yes. The problems are apparently several.
The length of time since I was sick, almost two months in my case, and which of the 8-10 different strains I had. Different strains leave different levels of antibodies, which also explains why there have been reports of some people catching the WuFlu more than once.
Plus the other possibility is that the tests are actually defective.
UK government admits Covid-19 antibody tests don’t work.
And even when they’re not ‘defective’ there are a lot of questions.
The Hard Truth About Antibody Tests
I have been corresponding via email with several readers concerning my blog posts on the WuFlu. We’ve been going back and forth about the models, and listening to the experts.
From the start I have been questioning the models, and their ‘underlying assumptions.’
But do they understand the ‘underlying assumptions’ or they just making it up as they go?
I’m sure you know the term GIGO. If I had ever given the DOD or NASA a predictive model with that kind of variation, I would have been looking for a new job.
That’s not predicting, that’s throwing something at the wall to see what sticks. And we’re basing the economic health of our country on this.
They’re not ‘predicting’ anything, just plugging in the daily changes, and saying, “Look how smart we are.”
And it’s not just me. Here’s a link to a Medical Statistics site that also trashes these models.
And on ‘listening to the experts.
Again, which ‘experts’ should we believe?
Dr. Fauci, who last week said we should stay shut down until there are no more cases and no more deaths (and then had to walk it back), or Dr. Zeke Emmanuel, known as the father of ObamaCare, and who served as Special Advisor for Health Policy in the Obama administration, and said we should stay shut down until we have a vaccine . . . in 12 to 18 months, of course.
Or the ‘expert’, David Nabarro, professor of global health at Imperial College, London, and an envoy for the World Health Organisation on Covid-19, who said we may never have a vaccine for the WuFlu and we may just have to learn to live with it. This is because of the many different strains as I mentioned above. If they’ve mutated far enough apart so that the antibody test won’t work, then it will be hard to have a vaccine that stops all of them also.
Or the ‘experts’ who rushed the Swine Flu vaccine into production/use and gave a number of people Guillain-Barré syndrome.
Or the experts that say we’ve got to do more WuFlu testing before we can open things up. But even Dr. Fauci has said that just because you test negative today doesn’t mean that you won’t catch it tomorrow.
Or what about ‘dueling’ experts.
The W.H.O. still recommends the public only wear masks/gloves under the following:
- If you are healthy, you only need to wear a mask if you are taking care of a person with COVID-19.
- Wear a mask if you are coughing or sneezing.
- Masks are effective only when used in combination with frequent hand-cleaning with alcohol-based hand rub or soap and water.
- If you wear a mask, then you must know how to use it and dispose of it properly.
But then the CDC recommends we do all wear masks.
I guess you pick your expert and you take your chances.
As far as the masks here in Texas, we see less and less in use, especially as the weather warms up. When we were in WalMart a couple of weeks ago Jan had to remove her mask and sit down because she was getting light-headed and dizzy.
The problem is that you’re re-breathing your own hot, CO2-laden breath right back in, and running short of oxygen.
Talk about shortness of breath!
Thought For The Day:
Patience is the ability to let your light shine after your fuse has blown out.
df’
