Bad Math? Or Is It The Devil’s In The Modeling?
I went out about 1 this afternoon to finish up the shed, and it only took me about 45 minutes.
First up, I put in the 11 screws that lock the walls to the floor, and then installed the corner braces at the corners where the doors mount.
Next up I installed the Cane Bolt, which locks the left door to the door jam.
Then all I had left was to attach the door handle, and then install the ceremonial padlock, and I was done.
Of course now I have to get a base put together and tied down, and then I can move the shed over to it and bolt it down.
Then, I’ll be done done.
They’re finally starting to test people for antibodies to see if they’ve already had the WuFlu. Remember, according to the CDC and W.H.O., 80%-85% of people who contract the virus show little or no symptoms. I’m going to try and get tested as soon as possible, since I suspect that caught back around the first of March.
France is going all out of the mass prescribing of HCQ, hoping to dose the entire country cure-wise, and prophylactically as well.
https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=auto&tl=en&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.leparisien.fr%2Fsociete%2Fsante%2Fchloroquine-ne-perdons-plus-de-temps-l-appel-de-personnalites-medicales-03-04-2020-8293677.php
Here’s another story on Ivermectin which is showing very good results. And it’s cheap, readily available, and FDA-recognized as safe to take,
https://in.news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-stopped-48-hours-using-103100205.html
And Drug Makers are ramping up on producing HCQ
http://www.yourdestinationnow.com/2020/03/morgantown-west-virginia-mylan-plant-to.html
When is a walk not a walk?
San Francisco police can’t figure out who to arrest, and for what.
The order, issued by the Mayor says this.
The order states that all travel — including walking and biking — is forbidden; however, the order also states that “Individuals may go on a walk, get exercise, or take a pet outside […] as long as at least six feet of social distancing is maintained.” It also lists “essential activities” exempt from the order as including “outdoor activity, such as walking, hiking, or running provided that you maintain at least six feet of social distancing.”
Well, it seems perfectly clear to me.
Is It Bad Math, Or Is It The Devil’s In The Modeling.
More and more analysts and statisticians are looking at the statistical models being used by the CDC to predict the spread of the WuFlu and the resources, beds, and ventilators needed as the virus progresses. And they’re finding a lot of problems.
The model projected:
United States Projection – that over 121,000 people would be hospitalized in the country yesterday. The actual number was 31,142. (25.7%)
Texas: Projection – 1,716; Actual – 196 (11.4%)
Georgia: Projection – 2,777; Actual – 952 (34.3%)
Virginia: Projection – 607; Actual – 305 (50%)
Tennessee: Projection – 2,214; Actual number – 200 (9%)
New York: Projection – 50,962; Actual number – 18,368 (36%)
And Dr. Birx said this:
At White House press conference on Saturday, Dr. Birx said that coronavirus modelers are “re-evaluating all of their models in light of the level of the impact of the mitigation.”
But this is the Money Shot:
“Just to be clear, we won’t know how valid the models are until we move all the way through the epidemic,” she said.
So she’s saying that we won’t know how accurate the models are until the epidemic is over.
Then what the hell good are the models?
Dr. Anthony Fauci, meanwhile, reportedly said during a recent meeting that disease models “don’t tell you anything. You can’t really rely upon models.”
Then what the hell good are the models?
And remember these models were originally projecting 2.7 deaths in the U.S.
And is this why NYC is such a hotspot for the virus?
This is the #2 Subway in NYC this past Friday.
But even with this, the number of coronavirus-related deaths in New York is dropping for the first time, Gov. Cuomo said Sunday during his daily press briefing. However, Cuomo emphasized that it’s “too early to tell” whether the drop is significant. The governor added that ICU admissions are also down, daily intubations are slightly down, and the hospital discharge rate is “way up.”
And in Kung Flu news you can use:
Cleaning Products Can Kill The COVID-19 Virus. Here’s What to Use in Your House.
ONLINE CALCULATOR PREDICTS WEIGHT GAIN DURING ISOLATION
Online calculator shows how much food you need for a 14-day quarantine so you can stop panic buying
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Thought For The Day:
“The beauty of doing nothing is that you can do it perfectly. Only when you do something is it almost impossible to do it without mistakes. Therefore people who are contributing nothing to society, except their constant criticisms, can feel both intellectually and morally superior.” – Thomas Sowell
