Monthly Archives: April 2020
Corona Flu = ICD U07.1
First up, Brandi sent this photo over this morning, of Landon and Jack checking in to his online school class.
Looks like Jack is just as interested as Landon.
I had originally planned to take a KungFlu break in today’s blog, but a lot of new stuff came out overnight.
In yesterday’s blog, I talked about all the problems I saw with the modeling being used to predict the spread of the CCP (Chinese Communist Party – new acronym) Flu, and how in the last week or so, the number of deaths forecast had gone from 2.2 – 2.7 million deaths in the U.S. down to 100,000 – 240,000 deaths, mentioned as late as yesterday.
But today the model(ers) came up with a new number, 81,766, but maybe as few as 49,156. Besides the strange exactness of the new numbers compared to the old ones, what no one seems to mention is that this is pretty much the number of U.S. deaths due to the seasonal flu during the 2018-2019 season.
And don’t think that this drop is due to all the ‘mitigation’ that’s been done, i.e., businesses closed and people out of work. The 2.2 million and the 240,000 number were all based with taking the mitigation into account, I.e. they were the ‘best case’ numbers.
And just remember what Dr. Birx said about the models on Saturday:
“Just to be clear, we won’t know how valid the models are until we move all the way through the epidemic,” she said.
So she’s saying that we won’t know how accurate the models are until the epidemic is over.
Well, they do say that ‘Hindsight is 20/20’.
Another thing to notice is that according to the CDC, since the inception of the WuFlu, the deaths from the seasonal flu have dropped precipitously. So has the KungFlu replaced the seasonal flu, or are some supposed CoronaFlu cases been mistaken for the seasonal version?
Think this is not possible? Well, check out this memo from the National Center for Health Statistics instructing doctors and hospital how to handle possible KungFlu cases/deaths.
First off, they designate a new ICD code, U07.1, and then in the last paragraph they say
‘COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death.’
They go on to say that a confirmed virus test is not necessary. So how many people are actually dying from the seasonal flu and not Corona?
This leads to the governor of Connecticut announcing the death last week of a six-week old baby from the WuFlu, supposedly the youngest victim so far. And yes, the baby did test positive for the Virus. But a little further research shows the baby actually was accidently suffocated by the babysitter/nanny, probably by rolling over on the baby while napping.
Wrapping up, tomorrow I plan on running over to our nearby Home Depot to pick up a 4’ x 8’ sheet of pressure-treated plywood to make the base for our new shed. I’m also going to pick up couple of pieces of flat steel bar to use on the shed flooring to bolt it to the plywood.
I’ve already got the screw-in anchors and canvas strapping that I’ll use to strap the plywood to the ground. So hopefully in the next couple of days, we can start moving stuff into it.
sd
Thought For The Day:
Remember when we had to smack the TV because the channel wasn’t coming in clearly? Don’t you wish that work as well with some people?
Bad Math? Or Is It The Devil’s In The Modeling?
I went out about 1 this afternoon to finish up the shed, and it only took me about 45 minutes.
First up, I put in the 11 screws that lock the walls to the floor, and then installed the corner braces at the corners where the doors mount.
Next up I installed the Cane Bolt, which locks the left door to the door jam.
Then all I had left was to attach the door handle, and then install the ceremonial padlock, and I was done.
Of course now I have to get a base put together and tied down, and then I can move the shed over to it and bolt it down.
Then, I’ll be done done.
They’re finally starting to test people for antibodies to see if they’ve already had the WuFlu. Remember, according to the CDC and W.H.O., 80%-85% of people who contract the virus show little or no symptoms. I’m going to try and get tested as soon as possible, since I suspect that caught back around the first of March.
France is going all out of the mass prescribing of HCQ, hoping to dose the entire country cure-wise, and prophylactically as well.
https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=auto&tl=en&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.leparisien.fr%2Fsociete%2Fsante%2Fchloroquine-ne-perdons-plus-de-temps-l-appel-de-personnalites-medicales-03-04-2020-8293677.php
Here’s another story on Ivermectin which is showing very good results. And it’s cheap, readily available, and FDA-recognized as safe to take,
https://in.news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-stopped-48-hours-using-103100205.html
And Drug Makers are ramping up on producing HCQ
http://www.yourdestinationnow.com/2020/03/morgantown-west-virginia-mylan-plant-to.html
When is a walk not a walk?
San Francisco police can’t figure out who to arrest, and for what.
The order, issued by the Mayor says this.
The order states that all travel — including walking and biking — is forbidden; however, the order also states that “Individuals may go on a walk, get exercise, or take a pet outside […] as long as at least six feet of social distancing is maintained.” It also lists “essential activities” exempt from the order as including “outdoor activity, such as walking, hiking, or running provided that you maintain at least six feet of social distancing.”
Well, it seems perfectly clear to me.
Is It Bad Math, Or Is It The Devil’s In The Modeling.
More and more analysts and statisticians are looking at the statistical models being used by the CDC to predict the spread of the WuFlu and the resources, beds, and ventilators needed as the virus progresses. And they’re finding a lot of problems.
The model projected:
United States Projection – that over 121,000 people would be hospitalized in the country yesterday. The actual number was 31,142. (25.7%)
Texas: Projection – 1,716; Actual – 196 (11.4%)
Georgia: Projection – 2,777; Actual – 952 (34.3%)
Virginia: Projection – 607; Actual – 305 (50%)
Tennessee: Projection – 2,214; Actual number – 200 (9%)
New York: Projection – 50,962; Actual number – 18,368 (36%)
And Dr. Birx said this:
At White House press conference on Saturday, Dr. Birx said that coronavirus modelers are “re-evaluating all of their models in light of the level of the impact of the mitigation.”
But this is the Money Shot:
“Just to be clear, we won’t know how valid the models are until we move all the way through the epidemic,” she said.
So she’s saying that we won’t know how accurate the models are until the epidemic is over.
Then what the hell good are the models?
Dr. Anthony Fauci, meanwhile, reportedly said during a recent meeting that disease models “don’t tell you anything. You can’t really rely upon models.”
Then what the hell good are the models?
And remember these models were originally projecting 2.7 deaths in the U.S.
And is this why NYC is such a hotspot for the virus?
This is the #2 Subway in NYC this past Friday.
But even with this, the number of coronavirus-related deaths in New York is dropping for the first time, Gov. Cuomo said Sunday during his daily press briefing. However, Cuomo emphasized that it’s “too early to tell” whether the drop is significant. The governor added that ICU admissions are also down, daily intubations are slightly down, and the hospital discharge rate is “way up.”
And in Kung Flu news you can use:
Cleaning Products Can Kill The COVID-19 Virus. Here’s What to Use in Your House.
ONLINE CALCULATOR PREDICTS WEIGHT GAIN DURING ISOLATION
Online calculator shows how much food you need for a 14-day quarantine so you can stop panic buying
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Thought For The Day:
“The beauty of doing nothing is that you can do it perfectly. Only when you do something is it almost impossible to do it without mistakes. Therefore people who are contributing nothing to society, except their constant criticisms, can feel both intellectually and morally superior.” – Thomas Sowell
